Ok this is a long one. I won't be offended if nobody reads it lol.

It's been politically interesting in Britain over the last few weeks/months.

Really quite unprecedented. Never in history has a LOT of current events happened. Things are unravelling and it's honestly quite exciting.

So first, some years back, we had the collapse of the Conservative party, after switching prime minister over and over again, they finally collapsed, by the will of the voters. This is the oldest democratic party in the world, for centuries dominating British politics.

They had an absolute stonking majority and could feasibly do anything they ever wanted. But the members of the party were so busy backstabbing and creating various factions within itself that it just became untenable.

The opposition, Labour, sweeped up the chaos and swooped into victory - even though they actually got fewer votes than the previous election they actually lost. This is to say, our current Labour leadership is not popular at all. It never was. Nobody really likes them.

But everyone on the island intuitively understood we had to get rid of the Conservative party one way or the other, so they voted literally anything else that could strategically wipe them out.

Well, now the Labour party, run by Starmer who is polling as literally the least popular prime minister in British history, is going through the same process.

Their honeymoon period was very short. Within weeks, Axel Rudakabana (I will refrain from posting his horrendously evil looking face because it's nightmarish) stabbed a dozen little girls in a dance class, killing 3, several of whom he stabbed over 100 times with glee on his face.

You'll be pleased to know he has been violently assaulted numerous times in prison, but that was the moment Labour collapsed all legitimacy, as they hammered down on the protestors with an iron fist, calling them right wing mobs, thugs, and decided to crack down with 'The full force of the law', 24-hour courts and essentially demonising those who would protest about one of the worst crimes in our history.

Then the protests really started kicking in with anti-immigration. This psycho stabber was the child of migrants, who it turns out knew about his propensities for psychopathy and just kind of let it slide. Professionals looking into it knew the risk too, but have been reported as taking no action due to fear of being racist. This, incidentally, is the same reason the Manchester Arena Bombing happened, as one of the security guards saw a suspicious non-white person and let it go so he wasn't accused of racism.

Two wild examples of suicidal empathy.

Anyway, from this point on there was no way back for Labour. Protests, riots, all over. Nearby but separately, Ireland has also been having immense levels of protesting on the exact same issues. Depressingly none of this is unique to the UK, but a strangely global initiative by Global leaders who think it's the only way forward economically.

The people aren't stupid. We all caught on, albeit slower than we perhaps should have. Well, now Labour is in dire straits. Reform, a new party has come in and broken the historical binary of Tory VS Labour. And Lo and Behold, the new party is set to win the next election in 2029. They are dominating the news cycles, they are dominating the polls.

They were, for a while, set to win an absolute majority. This, again, was all part of the collective people's plan; eradicate and humiliate the big bad Conservatives, then turn our attention to their snide, commie counterparts, Labour.

For the record, I think Labour have actually done some half-decent things. They have accomplished quite a bit of what they said they would do, some of which is downright evil, others are universally good choices. For all his faults - and there are MANY - the leader, Starmer, isn't actually proving to be that useless. Sure, he U-turns constantly, his rhetoric grates on the ears of everyone listening with his love of migration, the EU and tax increases. But he did re-nationalise the trains, protect the steel industry, keep us out of the Iran war - actually standing up against Trumps pressure, and even dropped immigration dramatically - astonishingly set to become net zero immigration by the end of this year if the trajectory holds.

Still, fuck 'em.

But now...

Reform have been dropping in the polls too. It seems they've naturally reached their peak and people are starting to grow weary of some of the decisions the Reform team have been making.

For one thing, they are explicitly anti-immigration. Their whole schtick was net-zero immigration. But Labour are already doing that. So Reform's whole model and purpose has collapsed.

Farage also came out saying some unforgettably awful takes for the leader of such a party:

• "If we alienate the Muslim vote, we will lose"
• "No, I'm not concerned about the demographic change to society"
• "It's a political impossibility to deport hundreds of thousands of people. We simply can't do it"
• "If you have lived in Wales for 5-10 years and paid your taxes, you are Welsh"

Some of the members and constituents across the country are also remarkably questionable, from literal foreigners on student visas, to Conservative Party refugees fleeing their own sinking ship and then adopting absolute fealty to Reform, the very man they were decrying as evil and racist merely weeks earlier.

Case and point, Robert Jenrick oversaw record levels of asylum hotels, often located near schools where they have subsequently seen weird, foreign men lurking and attempting to groom girls on their way out, leading to a LOT of protests around the country. Some schools are now providing rape whistles to their girls. Nice.

He, as Immigration minister, also sustained insane levels of immigration generally. He also secretly brought in tens of thousands of Afghanistan men, and blocked the media from being allowed to report on it. Some of these men went on, of course, to rape young women.

Then there's Reform leader Nigel Farage's right hand man, Zia Yusef, A Muslim who seems to be pulling all kinds of strings to prevent things that might negatively affect his country, his people, having a hissy fit and quitting when Farage wanted to ban burqas, and making a political red list of dozens of countries which curiously omitted his own.

Their entire nationwide team is chock full of foreign folk, including a Muslim mayoral candidate for London to replace the current Muslim mayor.

If your a party appealing to the anti-migration sentiment of the people, the last thing you should be doing is stuffing your team with immigrants to look more appealing to the mainstream media outlets.

Reform have repeatedly fallen over their own feet, but still seem to be going quite strong simply because there is a huge incentive to get rid of Labour and finish off the Tories, the combined "uni-party", as they say.

But now...

Reform has a bigger problem. Farage had a bit of a spat with one of his early MP's, kicked him out, threatened him, called the police on him, all on seemingly false accusations but it's hard to be sure.

Well this man has gone and formed his own brand new party called Restore Britain, and it is working as a significant pressure group on the right of Reform. Whatever Reform was acting tough about started falling flat because Restore was going even further, and taking a much more serious and uncensored approach to rhetoric compared to Farage's strange, carnival-clown-type style, with his little fireworks and Trump-style campaigning.

Of course, being only months old, this party is small, but they have become politically dangerous and it seems those in Reform are flipping out over it.

You see, the leader, Rupert Lowe, is remarkably popular. While Elon Musk tweeted out "Farage doesn't have what it takes" after meeting him a single time, he has been all in on Rupert Lowe. Essentially calling him out as a hero of the people, sharing his tweets over and over again. Elon, while not British, is immensely influential whether you like it or not, and that is spreading Restore Britain's message beyond Twitter.

Lowe's constituency, Great Yarmouth, was mocked by Reform and Farage, who himself said Lowe won't get more than 1% of the votes in the upcoming local elections. Well, those elections happened, and the results show a somewhat different picture:

Yep, Lowe's party didn't only win all ten seats being contested, but with results until now never before seen. Polling shows across those ten anywhere from 45-51% of the entire votes, meaning some of those would still win even if every single other party got together in a giant coalition, they would still lose.

So, sure, the party is still tiny. But it is causing earthquakes everywhere it goes, and that is a concern for Reform. Now, even the mainstream media are picking up on Restore's presence, including the BBC.

Splitting the Vote

Meanwhile, Labour have been quite pleased with this divide on the right. They're heavily shaken by their own ongoing collapse and there were whispers, then open debates, about who is the best person to oust Starmer as Prime Minister, who can succeed in the next mutiny?

Personally I find this pretty pathetic. Starmer isn't actually doing anything particularly badly for the Labour party. He's competent, intelligent, and can stand his ground under immense pressure. They only want to replace him because the party overall is so incredibly unpopular, they think a new fresh face will give them a new honeymoon period. It won't. Labour will be destroyed in the next election no matter what.

The most popular potential candidate is a man called Andy Burnham, the mayor of Manchester. He's not an MP, but an actual MP has been willing to sacrifice his seat to do a local election for Burnham to take office, thus having the ability to then overthrow Starmer and become the new leader of the country. Very Game of Thrones-ey.

The problem is, that constituency isn't as loyal to the Labour party as they once were, and Reform have a very real chance of winning it. In fact, it's currently neck-and-neck.

It's quite intense. It's very, very consequential to a lot of people. If Reform wins, Starmer stays in power and then an election destroys the party and guarantees Reform taking office. If Reform loses, Burnham rises up the ranks, takes over in a matter of weeks, and gives Labour a new lease of life, potentially winning the next election, opening borders even more, re-joining the EU, and all manner of things further to the left than Starmer himself.

Enter Restore, who, after such a gargantuan victory down south has set their eyes on this very local election, too. The voter base really is their kind of ilk; Brexiteers, mostly white and right wing.

Recent polling there has since put them at around 7% already with 3 weeks to go.

That same polling shows Labour at 43% and Reform at 40%.

You can perhaps see why Reform are now freaking out. The majority of Restore Britain's 7% would likely be voting for Reform instead, making them victorious. But that 7% is being perceived as being sniped from Reform to put them at a 3% loss.

DRAT! You hear them collectively cry. HOW DARE YOU RUIN THE COUNTRY!

And this is not an unfounded complaint. For restore, it's high risk, high reward. They're in it to win it, but given they're set to land in third place, that's a momentum booster for them. Third place after only a few weeks as an established party? This is unheard of. Second place? Even winning this by-election?

None of them are impossible, but obviously winning would be quite unlikely given most people will have never heard of them.

Their presence, either way, is extremely consequential to the future of the entire country.

Personally, I think this is a bit of an exaggeration. I don't think Labour's leader being replaced by another leader will make much of any difference. I think they will be voted out in the next election regardless. Even if not, they could likely crawl back with the current leader if they just keep chugging along and reducing immigration and see at least a sliver of economic growth (so far we have grown but really too small to qualify as a sliver).

The question is, can the man who Nigel Farage kicked out, arrested and defamed be his own worst nightmare coming back to haunt him? Could restore, over the next 3 years, actually rise to prominence and even win the next election?

Usually it would be common sense to say of course not. Our political system is designed to suppress new parties in favour of the more established. But we're not in normal times. Reform itself rose to its current position of dominance in the exact same period of time, around 3 years.

People have clearly had enough of the status quo, and our chaotic politics is demonstrably reflecting that in ways that have never been seen before. The UK has been broadly a two-party system for centuries (aside from a couple of coalitions and the old Whigs party in ancient times). Now we have Labour, Tories, Reform, Restore - and even the Greens have risen to power threatening Labour to the left! That's a topic for another day, though, but perhaps equally as dramatic.

The stakes are so high right now, it really is like a Game of Thrones-style drama that will surely be written in history books years from now in great detail. It's momentous, and I wish I was there to vote and have my little say.

Who would I vote for?

I honestly don't know. The whole Restore thing is a bit exciting, but that doesn't translate to a vote from me, per se. I think they're still quite messy and rushed, I think some of their ideas are a bit of a pipe dream, and some of their opinions such as on climate, are USA-style conspiracy. But then again, I hate all the other options, all of which have members with a track record of ruining the country.

The only parties who don't have that are Greens on the left, Restore Britain on the right and I guess the Liberal Democrats, who are just a kind of snooty south-western party that all the snooty rich people vote for to keep the status quo so they can keep their little NIMBY lifestyles in the country gardens without needing to pay attention to the fate of the rest of the country.

Although Reform are far more likely to win than any other party, I don't take them seriously. Farage comes across as a coward with a wormtongue-style advisor whispering into his ear. He is not a leader, he has shown this time and time again. He says one thing which isn't good enough. Then somebody else normalises the thing that should have been said, and then Nigel swoops in saying the same thing.

Remember when I showed him saying removing all illegal immigrants is 'literally impossible'? He very quickly changed his tune barely a week after Restore said 'no it's not, and we will do it':

The most hilarious thing about this is how Reform, a light blue coloured party have adopted this somewhat familiar navy blue scheme... hmm, where have I seen that before? Oh yeah... Restore Britain:

In fact, somebody did a colour test and found a 95% similarity:

So, naturally, this meme has been going around, and it's hard to disagree:

Who knows, maybe that strategy will work. But if Restore are nothing else but a pressure party, then they are succeeding in that goal, forcing Reform to adapt and go further to the right.

Meanwhile, Labour - traditionally left wing - are proving to be to the right of the traditional right wing party, the Conservatives - bizarre.

It seems everyone is shifting in that direction, largely due to mass immigration rather than some actual societal shift towards Nazism.

Honestly, most of the infighting, collapse, mutinies, and chaos, are all going on over that one topic. The struggling economy is neither here nor there, each party has a bit of a variation on their ideas for growth, none of them seem particularly fool proof. And these are by far the two biggest concerns of the British electorate.

Whoever dares take each issue furthest, wins.

I guess for now, we just have to wait for that little, seemingly inconsequential by-election in Manchester to see what the fate of our island will be.

Exciting stuff!