Scary Times: Turns Out Hope Wasn't Enough

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The AfD is under suspicion of right-wing extremism and yesterday they won the state election in Saxony-Anhalt with 43.8% of the votes. That's a big enough number that it's hard to explain away as some one-off fluke and yes - I am scared of this.

(Quick context for people outside Germany, since this confuses a lot of people: this was a state election, not a national one. Germany has 16 states, each running its own parliament, schools, police, regional stuff, so it's different from a Bundestagswahl, which is the vote that picks the Chancellor and the federal government. The AfD doesn't run the whole country because of this. But "just a local thing" isn't right either. Over a million real people voted here, this isn't a poll, and when the same thing keeps happening in state after state, especially in East Germany, it's hard to keep treating it as a coincidence.)

None of this is new honestly, the shift to the far-right in East Germany has been building since years already, quietly, while a lot of people just looked the other way. I grew up in a small city in Saxony, and let me tell you - I knew an uncountable number of racist people while nobody was pointing to this growing issue in society. What changed now is that it's not just a feeling or a number on a chart anymore. It's a government that gets to decide things for people, and somehow that lands very different than a poll result ever did.

I also don't think it's fair to just call this "another populist party." Historians and journalists keep pointing out how close some of the language sits to old NSDAP rhetoric, "the German people," "who really belongs here," phrases that sound almost harmless until you know where they come from. Take the word "remigration," named Germany's Un-word of the Year 2023 for a reason since it's a softer wrapper around something much darker, and it's sitting right there in the AfD's own program as "remigration programs." Linguists call this whitewashed extremist vocabulary, dressed up so it sounds okay at the dinner table. A party leader called Hitler and the Nazis a mere "bird dropping" in over a thousand years of German history once, which isn't just a slip of the tongue when you consider that courts have already convicted party figures for using actual Nazi slogans.

This is scary in a very concrete way for me. I think about people of color and the LGBTQIA+ community when I read stuff like this, about disabled people, Muslims, Jews, refugees, immigrants. Even Germans whose families have been here for generations still get asked where they're "really" from sometimes, and honestly it's scary for anyone who just doesn't match the AfD's small picture of who belongs here.

It gets worse once you look at what they'd actually do with power. Their own top candidate in Saxony-Anhalt already floated abolishing the regional domestic intelligence agency entirely, or at least weakening it enough that it can't investigate the AfD anymore, an agency that exists specifically because of what happened after 1945, built so a party like this could be stopped in time. On the national level it's pretty much the same playbook, defund the NGOs and civil society groups that criticize them and call it "neutrality." What that word is actually covering for is defunding the people who fight for refugees and for civil rights.

The part that actually makes me angry is how the AfD sells itself as the party of the "little man," the voice for people who feel left behind, while their actual tax plans say the opposite. They want to abolish the inheritance tax and the wealth tax too, which hits large fortunes and rich people, not ordinary workers. So all the talk about standing up for the poor comes with policy that mostly helps people who already have the most, and less tax money means less for schools and healthcare, less for the stuff the people they claim to represent actually rely on. I wouldn't call that solidarity with the poor.

The CDU and the AfD have never been closer

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For decades the CDU had one rule, no cooperation with the AfD, ever, and people called it the "Brandmauer," the firewall. Merz broke it for the first time in January 2025 when he pushed a migration motion through the Bundestag that only passed because of AfD votes. Even Angela Merkel, from his own party, criticized him publicly for it, while the AfD called it a historic day. As far as I can tell the CDU's bet was something like: sound tougher on migration, borrow some AfD positions, and the voters drifting right come back home. In German, "halbieren," cutting the AfD's support in half by copying it.

It didn't really work out that way in Saxony-Anhalt. The CDU crashed to its worst-ever result there, 17.2%, while the AfD hit a record high in the same election, so instead of halving the AfD, the CDU basically pushed a chunk of its own voters over to them.

Merz keeps adding to this pattern. In October 2025 he brought up a "Stadtbild" problem, saying German cities still had a "problem in the cityscape" in a context tied directly to migration and deportations, and even people inside his own coalition called it racist dog-whistling. There's also his family history, which he doesn't love talking about. His grandfather, Josef Paul Sauvigny, was mayor of Brilon during the Nazi era, an "Oberscharführer" in the SA and NSDAP member who had two streets renamed after Hitler and Göring while in office, and Merz downplayed it for years, even sued a newspaper over it once. None of this makes Merz the AfD, though it's fair to say he keeps blurring a line he claims to defend instead of just holding it.

Official reports from the domestic intelligence agency itself describe the AfD as confirmed or suspected right-wing extremist, and still, until now, there's been no court case, no formal process to ban the party, not once. The one legal tool built exactly for a moment like this has just sat there unused this whole time. I genuinely don't get why nobody's used it yet.

I'm still stuck in this kind of frozen, helpless feeling about all of this most days, and I won't pretend that's easy to shake. But "someone else will fix it" stopped being a real plan a while ago, that someone else clearly isn't coming.

But there's one thing I keep thinking about

About 1.7 million people in Saxony-Anhalt could vote, and around 1.2 million actually did. 43.8% of that comes out to roughly 530,000 people. Germany has 84 million people total, so less than 1% of the whole country voted AfD yesterday, which doesn't make what happened okay, and it doesn't take away the fear this creates for the people it's aimed at. Still, I think it's worth keeping in mind that most of the country didn't vote for this.

What the numbers look like for people under 18

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Before every real election, Germany runs a "U18" mock vote where kids and teenagers under voting age can cast a symbolic ballot, and in Saxony-Anhalt, 3,123 young people took part just before this one, with a result that looks nothing like the adult vote. To be fair: It's a self-selected group of young people who chose to participate, so it's not statistically representative. But it's still a real signal, because it might mean the far-right shift isn't equally strong across every age group, and that younger people, who'll actually be shaping this country for the next decades, are pulling somewhere different than yesterday suggests. It doesn't prove anything on its own, but I take it as a small reason for hope anyway.

What I'm actually doing now

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I decided I don't want to just sit with the fear anymore. I'm going to get more involved. I'll look for NGOs that fight for democracy and for people who don't have privilege on their side, and support them with whatever little money I have, plus my time where money isn't enough. I keep asking why nobody does something. At some point I have to be one of those people too.

You might see political posts here from time to time, even though I'm honestly not interested in arguing with anyone about it (if I don't reply to your comment, you're probably muted for a reason, deal with it). I always avoided this topic before, (a) to keep the (in my opinion) wrong kind of people off my blog, (b) because I genuinely struggle with the feelings that come up writing about it, but staying quiet is its own kind of privilege, especially next to people who've dealt with this since years for real, not just as a headline.

I want to hold onto that U18 number, not because it proves anything yet, but because it shows something still moving in the (in my opinion) right direction, at least in this one small corner of the country. I hope it's the same for young people everywhere, that the next generation pushes back harder than we expect. I don't know if that hope is realistic, honestly, but I'm holding onto it anyway.


I've said "someone else will fix it" too many times in the past,
and I'd rather not say it again.



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11 comments
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I understand why you’re scared. I really like that you’re choosing to do something about it instead of just waiting for someone else. That gives me some hope too.

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Thank you for the comment, @emmanuel50. We are in this together, even though the earth is big and we live in very different countries, far away from each other. Together we can make a change, wherever we live.

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Exactly sir. We may be far apart, but small actions from each of us can still make a difference. I believe that.

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I saw it on the news yesterday and it's very worrying, even though I'm not living in Germany.

We're seeing a similar situation in the UK where the far right have been gaining traction in recent years. Small boat illegal immigration from Europe is a serious problem in the UK and they're playing the card which resonates with many 😞

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Yeah. Populism and blaming small groups in society had a hard time one or two decades ago. Now it's booming everywhere. On one side, we have Trump, Elon, Putin doing their shady things and everyone knows. On the other side, people claim immigrants are stealing jobs and social security funds. People close their eyes and just believe what they hear, without even thinking about it or understnading who the real danger is.

Thinking, putting your own fears into words and actions is much harder than just pointing at groups who can barely defend themselves. I can relate to that, honestly. But I don't want to be that way.

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Guten tag, Dear @tibfox !
Are you german?
Nice meet to you!
I am an eastasian!
I live in a country located between China and Japan!
Some East Asians speculate that Germany will draw closer to Russia and form an alliance!

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Heeey @goldgrifin007 yes I am - nice to meet you too!

There are theories that the AfD (and also the BSW) are close to Russia. And it's not only theories. There have been real spy scandals inside the AfD linked to Russia and China.

On top of that, there are proven Russian bot networks online, spreading fake news that plays right into the AfD's hands. People often can't tell for sure where the accounts come from, but the pattern matches what's already documented. So it's not far from the truth, and honestly, in these times, it would not surprise me at all.

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Usually what pushes people to one extreme is the other extreme... I don't follow german politics to have an opinion, but you have to actually look the reason that made these people who didn't vote for them in the past, vote for them now. Align with the one extreme, will just fuel the other extreme.
What we need is more people in the middle, trying to find a common ground. We need to understand/accept each other better.

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True words. We had pretty conservative, tax-money-first politics for years already. Most of the AfD's new votes came from the CDU, the so-called "center right," which has been following a much more right-wing rhetoric since 2025. You can see it clear in the graph, exactly when most AfD voters switched over. It's the same year as the Bundestagswahl, and the same time our Chancellor started talking bad about immigrants and pushing cuts to healthcare and social funds. He himself has proposed real cuts to the federal subsidy for health insurance and to support for disabled people and children, not just talk.

I would not say all AfD voters are Nazis. But they vote for the racist party anyway, and that makes them not so different from the people who once helped the NSDAP get into parliament almost 100 years ago.

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This sure is a sad and scary development. But it's worth considering the reasons behind it. If people feel that their only alternative is "the Alternative" it also means the failure of everyone else: the mainstream and the actual alternatives (provided they do exist).

Which political parties represent the interests of Big Business, corporations and investors, rather than the average individual employee?
The FDP? - Most certainly.
The CDU? - Also apparently.
The SPD? - Them too, allegedly.
The Greens? - Not sure, quite honestly. (Though I wouldn't put it past them.)
The BSW / Linke / PDS / SED or any of its incarnations? - Doesn't matter, really.

If anything, I see the extreme left very similarly to the AfD, meaning that they're merely a fringe option, to indicate voters' disillusion with the rest. Kinda like the APPD used to be: not meant to win and govern, but instead ring the alarm bells so the mainstream would get its act together. And it's still not too late for that.

But now that the AfD has actually achieved these results, it's worth pointing out: They also represent money (and those who have lots of it but want more still)! As you mentioned, their tax plans reveal their intentions. But doesn't Alice Weidel also have close ties to Goldman Sachs? Yeah, so much for the "alternative" then. So maybe those teens got it right, and the best option is the Linke, or even better, whichever alternative ideas are lumped together under "others".

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That's a really good point, and honestly a fair one. If the "alternative" is the only place people feel heard, the failure isn't only on their side. It's everyone else's - mainstream and actual alternatives included.

And you're right about Weidel. She worked as an analyst at Goldman Sachs. So yeah. "Anti-establishment" from someone who came straight out of the establishment's finance wing. That's not an accident either. That's who they actually serve, and it's not the people voting for them out of frustration.

On your list of parties: The Greens are representing big business too, meanwhile.

The APPD comparison is interesting too. A protest vote, meant to shake the mainstream awake, not meant to actually govern. Maybe that theory made sense once. But Sachsen-Anhalt just proved the AfD isn't staying a protest anymore. 43.8% isn't a wake-up call. It's a government. At some point "protest vote" stops being a good explanation for what's happening.

And yes - maybe the U18 result really was the more honest read of where things could go. Not proof of anything yet but maybe it's proof that when people actually look for who represents them instead of just who's loudest against everyone else, they land somewhere very different. Fingers crossed for future generations..

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